There are a number of intriguing points here. First, Wal-Mart is
worth only $1 billion more than Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500), meaning that a few
dollars shift in stock price by either company could make Apple No. 3
any time now. Then there's No. 2 on the list, Microsoft, which with a
market cap of $260 billion, is comfortably ahead of Apple.
Make no
mistake though that Steve is well aware of that gap, and would be
incredibly psyched to skip ahead of his long-time rival Bill Gates.
Could that ever happen? It's impossible to say, but note that MSFT has
been trading at and around $30 for a decade now. (Exxon, by the way, now
worth $316 billion, looks to be out of reach for now...)
Below
Apple on the list of most valuable companies are interesting stories
too. Coming in at No. 5 right beneath Apple is Warren Buffett's
Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA, Fortune 500). Don't bet against
that company's value growing. Then comes GE (GE, Fortune 500), and after that the
ampersand stalwarts Proctor & Gamble (PG, Fortune 500) and Johnson &
Johnson (JNJ, Fortune 500).
Then at No. 9
is Apple's No. 1 Frenemy, Google (GOOG, Fortune 500), with a value of
$178 billion. The company's shares now trade in the $560s after peaking
in late 2007 at over $700. Apple and Google have a few things in common
besides the fact that they are both Silicon Valley tech companies. They
both enjoy revenue growth that far exceeds others in the top 10 -- 17%
for Google and 32% for Apple -- both have $24 billion in cash, and both
are debt free. Rounding out the top 10 is JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), which after the
financial wipeout remains the sole representative from the financial
sector.
These valuations, of course, can be fleeting. In
January 2000, when AOL announced it would buy Time Warner, AOL
had a market cap of $163 billion.
Today, AOL, recently spun off
from Fortune parent company Time Warner, has a market value of
$2.7 billion. And there are a million ways to slice and dice the
numbers to assess valuations. Apple's stock price, for instance,
could easily slip by dozens of points if the iPad, now selling
some 7,000 a day in pre-order (a staggering number considering
no consumer has actually used one yet!), disappoints.
But of
course naysayers have had a poor record lately when it comes to
Apple.
To me what's most instructive here is what these
market valuations say about our economy and us. Each company has
its own place, right? The most valuable company is our biggest
energy source, Exxon. Microsoft makes the brains of what makes
most of our PCs run. Wal-Mart is our biggest store. Berkshire,
you could argue, is the best of American business, overseen by a
genius.
And Apple, run by another business genius, is kind of
the cool future company. Its products are all about unlocking
the promise of technology to make our lives more productive and
more fun. Right now, Mr. Market seems to think that's a pretty
powerful formula.
4:18:26 PM